Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
Project Title
For one time funding for a project to assess the risks of nuclear escalation in the age of artificial intelligence
Date
Sep. 12, 2024
Duration
24 months
Description
Although there is significant concern that Artificial Intelligence (AI) may destabilize deterrence and make crisis decisionmaking more prone to escalation, most analysis has focused on the overall problem of AI and nuclear risks. With this project, SIPRI will conduct a deeper and more systematic analysis of the variables and contexts that will impact the relationship between AI and military power. This analysis will focus on better understanding the scenarios in which AI’s integration into conventional military systems may inadvertently create pressure to escalate to nuclear conflict and how such dangers are affected by contextual variables such as strategic relationships, unfolding events, and perceptions. The goal is to produce a menu of measures to reduce nuclear risks that can be adapted to different AI uses and strategic contexts.
Website
Project Title
For a project on the impact of the Ukraine conflict on cooperation in the Black Sea region to combat nuclear smuggling of fissile materials
Date
Jun. 01, 2017
Duration
18 months
Description
Russian and European cooperation on securing nuclear materials has been critical to preventing nuclear terrorism, but is under great strain because of the situation in Ukraine. The conflict there has greatly complicated regional efforts to prevent the spread of nuclear materials. With Corporation support, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIRPI) will study the impact of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine on illicit trafficking of nuclear materials in the region. Working with local partners, SIPRI will assess how developments have affected existing regional nuclear security mechanisms and what can be done to minimize risks. This work will help regional actors adapt their efforts to combat illicit trafficking and help outside partners, including funders, determine whether additional resources are needed to combat the threat.
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Project Title
For a project on machine learning, autonomy, and strategic stability
Date
Sep. 07, 2017
Duration
30 months
Description
Machine learning and autonomy will lead to improvements in almost all dimensions of warfare, including missile defense, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare. Yet, there has been little analysis of how the continued integration of these capabilities into nuclear operations will affect strategic stability. The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) will examine the extent to which machine learning and autonomy will be incorporated into future military modernization in the nuclear-armed states, and how this might affect nuclear risk. The project will leverage its extensive network of international and cross-disciplinary experts and will seek to develop recommendations for proactive crisis management.
Website
Project Title
Toward analysis on the trans-atlantic dimension of the next round of arms reduction negotiations with Russia
Date
Sep. 16, 2010
Duration
30 months
Website
Project Title
Toward projects of the organization that will advance disarmament and nonproliferation; and conduct dialogues among American, European and Iranian academics and officials
Date
Dec. 04, 2008
Duration
27 months