2015 Andrew Carnegie Fellows
Philip E. Tetlock
Annenberg University Professor, Psychology Department, University of Pennsylvania
Philip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, with appointments in Wharton, psychology, and political science. He is co-leader of the Good Judgment Project, a multi-year forecasting study, and is the author of three books: (with Dan Gardner) Superforecasting: The Art & Science of Prediction; (with Aaron Belkin) Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics; and Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Publications:
Project Title: Can Forecasting Tournaments Pry Open Closed Minds in Domestic and National-Security Policy Debates?
In the News:
- How to Avoid the Perils of Political Forecasting (Knowledge@Wharton)
