Philip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, with appointments in Wharton, psychology, and political science. He is co-leader of the Good Judgment Project, a multi-year forecasting study, and is the author of three books: (with Dan Gardner) Superforecasting: The Art & Science of Prediction; (with Aaron Belkin) Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics; and Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Publications:
Project Title: Can Forecasting Tournaments Pry Open Closed Minds in Domestic and National-Security Policy Debates?
In the News:
- How to Avoid the Perils of Political Forecasting (Knowledge@Wharton)
